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Él Statto’s FPL Preview GW30: Four Games to Target

The end of the season is fast approaching with just 9 GW remaining. GW30 throws up some good matches for FPL potential, so lets take a look at 4 in more detail.

Chelsea vs Crystal Palace

One thing is for sure, Chelsea owe their fans a performance after the City game. Whatever tactics they were sent out with they didn’t cover themselves in glory. At Home to Palace surely they must go back to playing a forward, so expect either Giroud or Morata to return to the side. Hopefully Kante will be back after illness to add some energy into the midfield that was so badly lacking at the weekend.

Palace are in the middle of a tricky run (Man U GW29 and Liverpool GW31). Their performance against Man Utd will give them heart, although not the way they lost the game and I think they will learn from that. I expect they will line up to be hard to beat and hope they can nick a draw or better still a surprise win. Their survival hopes will come down to GW33-38 and I would avoid any of their players until this period. Milivojevic is a popular pick at the moment due to his recent success on pens and at £4.9M is a low risk option for your 5th midfielder.

Teams Star Man: Eden Hazard (Chelsea) & Luka Milivojevic (Crystal Palace)
Possible Punt: Victor Moses (Chelsea –  1.9% ownership, £6.4M, 94pts)

Arsenal vs Watford

Arsenal are in a little bit of a crisis by their standards, 3 defeats in a row and cut adrift of the Champions League places. Their best bets of CL football now seems to be winning the Europa League so I wouldn’t be surprised to see that given the main focus now.

Similar to Chelsea, they were poor against City and didn’t seem to learn from their mistakes. Individual errors cost them against Brighton, but with their attacking talent they should be scoring more than they are currently. I wouldn’t be jumping on any of their defensive players currently, they seem to be all over the place but I do still back them to get goals, with Ozil, Mkhitaryan and Aubameyang they have plenty in them. Fixtures are kind between now and the end of the season, it just depends if Arsene can get them out of this slump they are in.

Watford continue to be consistantly inconsistant, although back to back wins has seen them hit 9th place and safe for another season. The challenge for them is to finish the best of the rest in 7th, but away visits to Arsenal and then Liverpool will test them and not games I expect them to win. Again similar to Palace GW32-35 are good for Watford and this is when I would be looking to bring in places looking to get clean sheets and goals (Deeney) but until them just have them as a watching brief.

Teams Star man: Aaron Ramsey (Arsenal) & Troy Deeney (Watford)

West Brom vs Leicester

It’s becoming the last chance saloon for West Brom and they are running out of games if they want to stay up. I think it’ll be a case of now or never this weekend, anything other than a win and I think that’ll be it for them.

West Brom’s problem is they are a team full of aging steady players. Evans, Brunt, Rodriguez etc. are all solid players but they don’t have that spark, that player who can just change a game with a bit of skill. Players are avoiding WBA for a reason, don’t score and don’t keep clean sheets, but if they do return a win you might want to keep an eye on their players in case they go on a run, their players are so lowly owned they will be great differentials.

Leicester aren’t in great form and will give West Brom hope, no win in 5 for them now but their fixtures are good. Mahrez is their form player and at 8.7% ownership still remains a good differential in midfield. No clean sheet in 5 either but fixtures are good until GW38 so I expect they will pick up a few between now and the end of the season.  Maguire at £5M appears the best option in their defence, having played in every game.

Teams Star man: Riyad Mahrez (Leciester) & Chris Brunt (WBA)
Possible Punt: Marc Albrighton (Leciester – 3.5% ownership, £5.6M, 97pts)

Everton vs Brighton

11pts from the last 15 for Brighton has seen them leap to 10th place on 34pts and surely safe in their first season, so success for them. Everton on the other hand have lost 3 of the last 4 and are unsure of their best line up with changes a plenty to try and get a change in their fortune.

A few weeks ago everyone was talking about Everton as the team to jump on (apart from Liverpool) for GW31 when there are reduced fixtures, but fast forward a few weeks and I’m not sure that’s the case now.  No clean sheet since GW20 would make their defence unattractive and with so much rotation in attack it’s hard to know who from Rooney, Calvert-Lewin, Niasse or Tosun will play.

Anyone you bring in I feel would be at rotation risk, so just bring in with caution. Walcott and Sigurdsson have the skill to win games and return big scores, but it’s shown all too infrequent.

Brighton show what togetherness and hard work can bring. No superstars but in Gross and Murray they have players that can win games for you. In their current form I would back them to go to Everton and get something from the game.

Teams Star man: Gylfi Sigurdsson (Everton) & Pascal Gross (Brighton)
Possible Punt: Glenn Murray (Brighton – 4.1% ownership, £5.8M, 97pts)

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El Statto

Regular Top 1% FPL finisher | Top 0.5% (29.876) in 2016/17 | Current overall rank: 123.109 (Top 2.3%)

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